The greenhouse effect, global warming, and climate
change are terms used to describe different aspects of the warming
of the Earth's atmosphere. Our concern must be that human activity
alters the composition of the atmosphere rapidly in ways that
could bring on profound changes in our climate. Most of the human
race is found in Africa, Asia, and Latin America -- the Third
World nations. Yet, three quarters of the greenhouse gases are
generated by North America, Europe, and the Pacific Rim which
houses only twenty percent of the World's population. The Third
World will be the first to be overwhelmed though many of these
countries contribute little to the global warming.
The greenhouse effect is the natural process by
which certain gases in atmosphere allow the sun's radiation to
pass through to the earth. Without the greenhouse effect, heat
would quickly radiate back into space leaving the planet with
a temperature close to zero degrees Fahrenheit. Water vapor and
traces of carbon dioxide act like an insulating blanket. Without
this action, the greenhouse effect would build indefinitely and
irreversibly.
Greenhouse gases trap the infrared heat reflected
from the sun-warmed earth and redirect much of it back to Earth's
surface, somewhat like panels of a greenhouse. Molecules of carbon
dioxide, methane, water vapor, and other gases are highly sensitive
to infrared energy. The warming effect of the other greenhouse
gases mentioned is expected eventually to equal, if not exceed
that of carbon dioxide.
Global warming means a rapid change and rapid change
means the end of familiar places. Familiar trees will vanish and
creatures will scatter. Weakened marshes will be drowned, beaches
will disappear, and streams will dry up. Storms and floods will
eat the land from our homes so places will cease to exist. Nature
can no longer be protected and preserved. A legacy will be left
to our children of only nature's bones to pick from and will justify
contempt for the selfish generations before them.
Early human societies experienced a cold climate,
a glacier or ice age extending until about ten thousand years
ago. Before that the earth was ice-free and far warmer than today.
A medieval warm epoch occurred between years 800 AD and 1250 AD
in which the global temperature was similar to today, soon followed
by the "little" ice age from 1550 AD to 1850 AD. Around
1900 AD the Earth swung into a natural warming trend, the seven
warmest years being: 1990, 1988, 1981, 1987, 1983, 1980, and 1989.
The temperature of earth is determined by the balance
between the rate at which sunlight reaches the earth's surface
and the rate at which the warmed earth sends infrared radiation
back into space. It does not respond in a smooth and gradual way
but in sharp jumps. Linked with the Earth's other components,
the oceans, soil, sheets of polar ice, the flow of energy from
the sun, and the web of life, the atmosphere has always acted
as a green house.
The interplay and balance of the biosphere, oceans,
rock, air, and ice of Earth has kept conditions congenial for
life for billions of years. Though significantly altered by human
actions, the atmosphere appears unchanging, presenting a paradox,
in constant flux yet remarkably predictable. A global temperature
increase would have a profound effect on our climate, altering
weather patterns and affecting air and ocean circulation.
The formation of the ozone layer millions of years
ago enabled life to leave the protection of the sea. A stratospheric
ozone layer protects life by shielding the earth. Ozone is defined
as a layer that effectively absorbs the destructive energy of
the sun's ultraviolet radiation. The action of sunlight on oxygen
molecules constantly creates this ozone. This ozone is thickest
and lowest over the poles and reaches its maximum altitude in
the high stratosphere over the tropics where most of it is produced.
Now this layer is being sapped by synthetic chemicals manufactured
by man, one of the species that resulted from life's first emigrant
ashore.
Over time, chlorine atoms from relatively few decomposed
chlorofluorocarbons (CFC's) can destroy more stratospheric ozone
than the sun can create. The ozone produced on earth cannot be
used to replenish the layer in the stratosphere, having a limited
life span before combining into other chemical substances. Ground-level
ozone qualifies as a greenhouse gas and is very toxic. It is formed
by the action of sunlight on nitrogen oxide and hydrocarbon pollutants
(smog) emitted primarily by cars and trucks.
The depletion of ozone layer increases the amount
of ultraviolet radiation (UV) reaching the earth. This has potential
effects on human health, leaving people risking skin cancer, cataracts,
and alterations of their immune system. The ozone and acid rain
on the ground level, simultaneously causes destruction of the
primary filter of UV light.
Other planets in the solar system illustrate the
significance of the greenhouse effect. Venus has a dense atmosphere
that is mainly carbon dioxide. Its sterile surface sizzles at
eight hundred ninety degrees Fahrenheit. Mars has a thin atmosphere
that has little greenhouse effect. Its average surface temperature
is colder than that of Antarctica so what water exists is in a
perpetual deep freeze. Earth literally and figuratively lies between
these two extremes. Cloaked in an atmosphere with sufficient water
vapor and carbon dioxide to retain some heat from the sun, its
temperature lies comfortably in the range in which life can flourish.
In recent years, unnatural agents such as increased
concentrations of carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and other greenhouse
gases are changing the atmosphere's natural thermal blanket. Many
variables make predictions uncertain, such as increases in heat
trapping gases. We only know that as the gases continue to accumulate
in the atmosphere, the earth will continue to warm.
The atmosphere is supposed to do two things for
humanity --maintain a constant chemical climate of oxygen, nitrogen
and water vapor and help maintain the radiation balance. Michael
Oppenheimer suggests these changes are going to effect every human
being and every ecosystem on the face of the earth. The result
may be a new mass extinction such as ended the era of dinosaurs.
The full extent of warming accompanying any level
of greenhouse gases is only realized about forty years after its
release into the atmosphere. The effects of a global warming over
the next half century may cause rises in sea level, changes in
winds and ocean currents, accumulation of ice and snow in polar
ice caps, and frequent severe storms. Warmer oceans would spawn
more frequent and stronger hurricanes and typhoons. The ocean
slows down the rate of warming because heating the great mass
of water takes very long time. Larger waves and storm surges would
come on top of a higher mean sea level.
Variations in the range of disease bearing organisms
and droughts affecting water availability and agriculture may
occur. Changes in our woodlands, forests and other natural ecosystems,
including forest fires, will cause an increased extinction of
plant and animal species around the world. It is estimated that
two to five percent of the planet's land surface burns each year,
adding to the greenhouse effect.
Mankind is shifting the chemical balance bringing
poisons into the atmosphere at unprecedented rates. These gases
vary in their concentration, their ability to absorb heat, and
their life span. Their concentration closely relates to changes
in the Earth's surface temperature. Certain trace gases in the
atmosphere absorb heat radiating from the Earth and emit some
of it back to the surface, raising the temperature. Melting glaciers
and ice sheets and thermal expansion of the upper layers of the
ocean will cause the sea level to rise by one to three feet during
the next century. To date, the global surface temperature has
risen one degree Fahrenheit and could climb at a substantial clip
of one-half to one degree per decade.
Most of the sun's energy travels to Earth as visible
light, but some enters the atmosphere with the purpose of warming
things up. Surfaces warmed by the sun then begin to shed that
accumulated energy as heat. Air currents provide an important
means for redistributing solar energy. The tropics absorb more
solar energy than the polar regions.
Conversion and storage take place naturally when
the sun heats the Earth's surface and evaporates water from the
ocean. The warm air condenses into clouds and falls as rain or
snow. The clouds and oceans bring about a warmer climate that
leads to a cycle of increased evaporation and cloud cover. Clouds
routinely cover about half of the Earth. They strongly influence
our climate, both by trapping some of the planet's heat and by
reflecting sun rays from their white tops. They both warm and
cool the planet's surface: high clouds trap heat, low clouds reflect
it. Thus, clouds exert a greenhouse effect of their own. Both
the reflective effect and the greenhouse effect of clouds are
largely compared with the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide
and other trace gases in the atmosphere.
Because of warm, moist air penetrating into the
high altitudes, a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide or the
equivalent can cause a one foot rise in the sea level. The ocean
is an exhaustible magazine, adapted for many beneficial purposes
and carrying twenty times the volume of water flowing through
all the world's rivers. This system, which covers about three
fourths of our planet, holds the greatest single climate feedback
data. How changes in the ocean temperatures will affect its currents,
and so our climate, cannot be predicted, yet what is predictable
is that these changes strongly affect the blooms and die-offs
of plankton and other sensitive marine species.
The largest effect on the coastline of Georgia,
South Carolina, and Northern Florida is tide level. More frequent
hurricanes will bring erosion, causing coastal dunes to disappear.
With the dunes gone, higher sea levels will seep increased salinity
into drinking water, river deltas and estuaries, and flooding
of woodlands, cypress swamps, adjacent lowlands, and populated
areas.
The ocean acts as a buffer for global climate change
and as a sink for some carbon dioxide emissions. The world's oceans
contain fifty times as much carbon dioxide as the atmosphere does,
and they absorb more than they release. The role of the oceans
in taking up or supplying atmospheric carbon dioxide is another
key uncertainty to modeling greenhouse effects. It is up to a
few trace gases, water vapor, carbon dioxide, and methane, to
keep the planet cozy.
Ecosystems, which consist of soil or water, plants,
and animals particularly suited to interact with and sustain each
other, would be disrupted or destroyed by rapid changes in the
environment. Those that cannot adapt quickly may be exterminated.
For example, forests play an essential role in storing and recycling
the earth's carbon. Trees are highly sensitive to small variations
in temperature and precipitation and would be victims of excessive
warming and droughts. Tropical rain forests, crucial reservoirs
of biological diversity harboring a vast array of endangered species,
are also in jeopardy. The woodlands would cease to provide nesting
and wintering grounds for fowl, spawning and nursing areas for
fish, and the natural treatment for waterborne and airborne pollution.
Another ecosystem, the wetlands, serve as a vital
biological factory in supporting the diverse coastal species.
If the seas rise and warm as a result of global warming, the habitat
and food supplies of coastal species might also be threatened.
Animals would encounter great difficulties finding new habitats
in our developed country. Migratory species might no longer find
the necessary environments (such as wetlands) on their routes
and at the end of their journey. Many vulnerable species may face
extinction.
As problems of unrestrained development occur, environmental
degradation, resource depletion, and severe economic and public
health consequences result. Drinking water sources become threatened,
and valuable land erodes. The open space and farmland base is
reduced, and we lose valuable wetlands. Increased warming will
weaken mankind's health, leading to more strokes, heart attacks,
and related diseases. Warmer air would also speed up chemical
reactions producing urban smog, encouraging respiratory diseases
and lung cancer.
Air pollution and acid rain also cause adverse effects
on human health (resulting in lost workdays), kill wildlife, and
cause corrosion of buildings and infrastructure. In changing the
composition of the atmosphere, humans may produce a very rapid
climate shift for all life on Earth. This means that hurricanes,
blizzards, thunderstorm, cold spells, tornadoes, drenching rains,
and blistering heat waves will play out a life/death drama across
the land.
The Earth will become warmer and warmer for an indefinite
period if greenhouse gases emissions continue at their present
rate. The lag time between this air pollution and its irreversible
effects requires immediate action. Even if the emissions of gases
were reduced enough to stabilize them at today's levels, it would
take the Earth's temperature decades to level off. Less air pollution
will generally mean a slower growth of other greenhouse gases
giving five direct benefits -- less carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide,
sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and hydrogen carbons. These in
turn produce three indirect benefits: less acid rain, tropospheric
ozone, and methane.
One inexpensive method to slow warming is to plant
fast-growing trees over large areas. Along with this, man should
minimize deforestation. With global cooperation, this solution
might be possible. Individuals can help by planting trees in towns,
cities, and in the country. Trees provide benefits by holding
soil, preventing runoffs, providing shade, windbreaks, habitats
for wildlife, and shade buildings thereby reducing demand for
air conditioning.
Global warming retardation can also be achieved
by controlling the burning of fossil fuels. Instead of providing
tax write-offs and rebates for clean energy use, the government
currently gives fossil fuels subsidies and incentives. Slapping
a levy onto the price of fossil fuels would discourage combustion
and encourage efficient and renewable energy use. For example,
a surcharge could be placed on coal and natural gas purchases,
weighted for the amount of greenhouse gas each produces.
States should develop land use and transportation
plans to limit air pollution and greenhouse gases. Adequate mass
transit and environmentally benign regional planning are impossible
without each other, and each makes the other easier to achieve.
Government should also make investments in energy conservation
tax-deductible. These should include weatherstripping, insulation,
and other preventive measures.
Presently, the predominant clean energy replacements
for fossil fuels are solar and nuclear energies. Both are virtually
inexhaustible, and neither produces greenhouse gases. The down
side is the costly technology required to harness them.
A major advantage of solar energy is that it creates
no acid rain, no smog, and no hazardous radiation. Low-powered
energy from sunlight comes in a form that is not transportable,
cannot be stored directly, and is unavailable a great deal of
the time. A purely solarized world would require energy-storage
capacity as there is no place where solar energy is always available.
Little land would be needed to capture the needed sunlight. An
area slightly larger than the state of Nevada would be sufficient
to meet present day fossil fuel needs if the sunlight was utilized
at only ten percent efficiency. One could easily assemble this
solar energy reservoir in a desert or scrub region anywhere around
the world. Arid and unproductive land with a low value for other
uses could be exploited. One day solar power will be the source
and a desert country the exporter.
Sunlight can be converted and stored in substances
such as hydrogen, which reacts with oxygen to produce an electric
current through a "fuel cell." Energy is released as
a current, reacting to form water. Fuel cells are cheap to build,
pollution-free, and highly efficient as devices for extracting
energy from hydrogen. Although hydrogen ignites more easily than
gasoline or gas, it is less dangerous in other respects. It is
smokeless; its gas dissipates rapidly once released, and only
hydrogen can deliver both the power density and the flexibility
of fossil fuels.
Photovoltaics, wind power, biomass energy, and solar
thermal generation can all play a part as well. The virtue of
photovoltaic-hydrogen is that it is constructed from an endless
clean energy source. Photovoltaics use direct conversion, eliminating
the intermediate step of running a generator with a steam turbine.
Photovoltaic cells are slivers of semiconductor mounted on metal,
glass, or plastic offering simplicity and easy maintenance with
few moving parts. Photovoltaics are here in commercial quantities
ready to be used and will provide power at peak demand hours at
optimum locations and elsewhere in the future. Two factors determine
the high price of photovoltaic power: the efficiency with which
a square foot of cells converts sunlight into electricity and
the cost of producing that square foot. Progress will come either
by improving efficiency or reducing the production costs per square
foot, or both.
Wind power catches some of the sun's heat that keeps
air in motion. Wind energy is one of the cheapest and cleanest
renewable fuels. It's adaptable to many different uses and can
be installed in short time. Thus, wind energy can easily respond
to changing electrical needs. It is most economical in areas where
the winds are fairly constant with speeds averaging twelve to
fifteen miles per hour.
Solar and wind power have the fewest negative environmental
impacts of any renewable technologies. Passive heating systems
use the buildings themselves as collectors, storing heat in floors,
walls, and other containers. Cooling is provided through simple
mechanisms such as cross ventilation and shade. Active systems
use materials like glass or aluminum as collectors. Fans or pumps
carry the heat to storage systems.
We can look to the Earth for other energy alternatives.
Biomass energy comes from agricultural wastes, forestry, and animals.
Energy is provided through burning, fermentation, and the eventual
conversion through anaerobic decay. When burned, cow dung, crop
residue, and methanol distilled from wood release their stored
solar energy. The CO2 that is released is at a lesser extent than
fossil fuel burning. Methane from solid-waste landfills can be
trapped and burned. Other sources of methane include anaerobic
bacteria in rice paddies and bacteria in the digestive tracts
of cattle. Earth's original natural removal process for methane
is now partially blocked by carbon monoxide emissions from automobiles.
Tidal-energy dams utilize gravitational forces tying
the earth, moon, and sun together. Geothermal systems tap remnant
energy from the Earth's formation, extracting it from hot water,
steam, or hot dry rock in the Earth's crust. It's many applications
include space heating and cooling of homes, heat for industrial
processes, and production of electricity. Geothermal energy is
considered a renewable resource, but reservoirs can be exhausted
if the rate of withdrawal is not managed with care.
Many people lack information on energy-saving options
and/or cannot afford the initial cost. The contribution to replacing
fossil fuels is small. Concern Inc. has produced a guidebook for
the average American to help with step to take to improve his
world. We can develop a comprehensive strategy, adopt a national
energy policy encouraging efficiency and environmental protection,
limit our use of fossil fuels, conserve energy, and use it more
efficiently. We can develop and use renewable sources of energy
in homes, our community, industry and transportation system. We
can adopt sustainable agricultural practices, stop deforestation,
demonstrate international leadership, and reduce the population
explosion.
In just the past hundred years the atmospheric concentration
of heat-trapping gases has risen twenty two percent. Higher CO2
levels will raise the world's average temperature up to possible
eight degrees Fahrenheit. Automobiles and trucks consume more
than sixty percent of the oil burned in the United States each
day, adding hundreds of thousands of tons of carbon dioxide to
the global greenhouse. All of that combustion, in power plants,
automobiles, and factories, has transformed hundreds of billions
of tons of ancient buried carbon into a great burst of carbon
dioxide gas. Attempts to use alternative approaches, such as tying
taxation to the costs caused by gasoline combustion, suffer from
the lack of knowledge, particularly about global damage.
Perhaps the simplest steps a person can take to
begin to counter the greenhouse effect is to re-establish a connection
to the natural world. Start with basic act of taking a walk in
the woods.
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